We have lost our ability to shape politics in Iraq.
By keeping our army there we merely save Iraq’s Shia majority from the need to come to terms and share power with the disaffected and disfranchised Sunni minority. It is possible that Iraq will never become unified again. I’ve blogged before on this and think that it will eventually split apart into various independent governates. Strong independence movements inevitably end up this way. By his insistence on staying and making only token troop reductions as his presidency counts down, George Bush just postpones the inevitable. Our ability to shape politics for the better is no longer true of the situation in Iraq. So we ought to leave.